|Airbus releases the latest forecast -|
|Asia Pacific Aviation Market is the fastest growing in the world|
|10,940 new aircraft will be needed in the next 20 years, including 4,130 wide-body aircraft|
Airbus expects that from 2013 to 2032, airlines in the Asia-Pacific region will need to add a total of 10,940 passenger aircraft and cargo planes, with a total value of 1.8 trillion US dollars, accounting for 37% of the total global new aircraft in the same period, surpassing Europe, North America and the Middle East. area. In terms of value, the value of new aircraft in the Asia-Pacific region accounted for 42% of the total value of new aircraft in the same period of the world.
In the passenger aircraft market, Airbus predicts that by 2032, the number of passenger aircraft operated by airlines in the Asia-Pacific region will increase from the current 4,960 to more than 12,130, more than doubling; the passenger traffic in the Asia-Pacific region in the next 20 years It will grow at an annual rate of more than 5.8%, higher than the global average growth rate, while nearly 3,770 aircraft currently in operation will be decommissioned and replaced by new aircraft.
Due to the continuous advancement of urbanization, the number of super-large cities in the Asia-Pacific region will increase to 25 by 2032, and the number of super-large cities in the world will be 89 in the same period. Airbus believes that air traffic in the Asia-Pacific region will continue to be concentrated in the growing major central cities in the next 20 years. Larger aircraft are the most effective way to meet the increasing demand for capacity in the region and reduce airport congestion. Therefore, Airbus forecasts that airlines in the Asia-Pacific region will need to add approximately 4,130 wide-body aircraft over the next 20 years, equivalent to 46% of the total new wide-body aircraft in the world during the same period.
At present, the Airbus A330 dual-aisle aircraft is widely used in the Asia-Pacific region. It is not only used to fly long-haul international routes, but also operates in large-area regional short-haul routes. Airbus expects this trend to continue and will be further revealed in the future. In the next 20 years, the demand for dual-channel wide-body aircraft such as the A330 and A350XWB will be 3,350 in the Asia-Pacific region, and more than 400 super-large passenger aircraft such as the A380. The demand for 780 aircraft will be deployed in some very large cities to alleviate congestion at local airports.
At the same time, according to the latest forecasts of Airbus, the demand for single-aisle aircraft in the Asia-Pacific region will continue to grow in the future, the most important factor is the rapid development of low-cost aviation in the region. The demand for single-aisle aircraft in the Asia-Pacific region is expected to be 6,810 in the next 20 years, accounting for more than one-third of the world's total demand. (Guo Ji)