Aluminum prices on the 20th are expected to continue to change little
專欄:Industry information
發布日期:2015-04-20
閱讀量:531
作者:佚名
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Comprehensive market analysis: On the previous trading day, the average price of non-ferrous aluminum in the Yangtze River rose by 80 to 13110, and the average price of non-ferrous alumin..........
       Comprehensive market analysis: On the previous trading day, the average price of non-ferrous aluminum in the Yangtze River rose by 80 to 13110, and the average price of non-ferrous aluminum in the South China Sea rose by 90 to 13,350. Shanghai aluminum spot monthly contract 1505 opened 13195, the highest 13245, the lowest 13160, closed at 13195, up 60 or 0.46%. Lun Aluminum 3 opened 1820.00, the highest 1843.00, the lowest 1816.00, closing 1822.00, down 1.00 or 0.05%. The US dollar index opened at 97.67, the highest at 97.82, the lowest at 97.00, closing at 97.46, down 0.21 or 0.22%. LME aluminum stocks fell by 4,800 tons to 3,876,550 tons. Aluminum stocks in the previous period increased by 4024 tons to 249,434 tons.

       News side:

       1. [The People's Bank of China: Continue to reduce deposit reserve ratios of deposit-taking financial institutions and implement targeted RRR cuts] Since April 20, the deposit reserve ratio of various deposit-type financial institutions has been lowered by 1 percentage point. For rural financial institutions such as rural credit cooperatives and rural banks, the RMB deposit reserve ratio was reduced by 1 percentage point, and the reserve ratio of rural cooperative banks was uniformly lowered to the level of rural credit cooperatives.

       2. The US CPI in March was 0.2%, expected to be 0.3%, and the previous value was 0.2%. The US core CPI in March was 0.2%, expected 0.2%, and the previous value was 0.2%. US March CPI was -0.1% year-on-year, expected to be 0.0%, and the previous value was 0.0%. The US core CPI in March was 1.8% year-on-year, with an expected 1.7% and a previous value of 1.7%.

       3. The final value of the CPI in the Eurozone in March was -0.1%, expected to be -0.1%, and the initial value was -0.1%. The Eurozone's core CPI in March was 0.6% year-on-year, with an expected 0.6% and an initial value of 0.6%. The Eurozone's March CPI was 1.1%, expected 1.1%, and the previous value was 0.6%.

       4. In China's 70 large and medium-sized cities in March, new commercial housing (excluding affordable housing): 50 cities with a decrease in the price of the ring (the former value of 66), and 12 cities with a rising price (the former value of 2). 8 flat cities (previously 42). The highest increase was 0.7%, and the lowest was 0.9%. Prices in all 70 large and medium-sized cities fell (the previous month was 69 and 1 was flat). The maximum drop was 11.2% with a minimum drop of 0.4%.

       Today's aluminum price analysis:

       The central bank's RRR cuts exceeded expectations, releasing over one trillion yuan of funds, and subsequent large-scale interest rate cuts are expected. The decline in the real economy has caused the central bank to have more monetary easing policy space, but the willingness of physical loans to be affected by excessive overcapacity is difficult to be equated by the magnitude of waterproofing, and more to the speculative capital of the capital market or market psychology. The fundamentals have not changed significantly, and the market needs time to digest psychologically positive. Short-term Shanghai aluminum futures prices are affected by the collective long-term expectations of the domestic market, and the decline is difficult to sleek down, but the direction remains unchanged. Today's aluminum prices are expected to continue to change little, for reference only.

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